Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000113 0.000124 0.000136 0.000150 0.000165 0.000181 0.000200
2025-12-14 0.000089 0.000105 0.000123 0.000146 0.000173 0.000205 0.000246
2025-12-21 0.000073 0.000091 0.000112 0.000140 0.000176 0.000221 0.000283
2025-12-28 0.000065 0.000083 0.000108 0.000141 0.000185 0.000245 0.000330
2026-01-04 0.000058 0.000078 0.000104 0.000142 0.000194 0.000268 0.000378
2026-01-11 0.000052 0.000072 0.000099 0.000140 0.000199 0.000284 0.000419
2026-01-18 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000140 0.000206 0.000305 0.000469
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000064 0.000093 0.000138 0.000210 0.000320 0.000509
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000061 0.000090 0.000138 0.000215 0.000339 0.000558
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000057 0.000087 0.000135 0.000217 0.000351 0.000598
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000054 0.000083 0.000133 0.000218 0.000362 0.000635
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000052 0.000082 0.000134 0.000225 0.000384 0.000697
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000051 0.000081 0.000136 0.000235 0.000413 0.000775
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000048 0.000078 0.000133 0.000236 0.000426 0.000826
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000044 0.000074 0.000128 0.000232 0.000430 0.000860
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000043 0.000072 0.000129 0.000239 0.000455 0.000940
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000041 0.000071 0.000130 0.000246 0.000482 0.001028
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000069 0.000128 0.000248 0.000497 0.001093
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000038 0.000068 0.000129 0.000255 0.000524 0.001187
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000127 0.000256 0.000539 0.001256
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000126 0.000261 0.000562 0.001348
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000034 0.000062 0.000124 0.000261 0.000574 0.001416
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000122 0.000261 0.000584 0.001478